Election Analytics 2020 @ Harvard

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Repository of 2020 election forecasts built by students of Harvard Gov 1347.

View the Project on GitHub soubhikbarari/Harvard-ElectionAnalytics-2020

Table 1: Summary of Gov 1347 State-Level Two-Party Popular Vote Forecasts (for Trump)

State Mean Median Min Max
Alabama 60.03 60.10 45.90 72.00
Alaska 56.23 54.90 49.00 68.00
Arizona 48.66 48.80 39.90 53.00
Arkansas 61.84 61.70 49.30 87.00
California 34.64 35.04 17.00 40.55
Colorado 42.86 43.00 38.00 48.00
Connecticut 36.94 36.90 25.00 43.10
Delaware 38.37 37.40 33.00 49.90
District of Columbia 9.74 7.00 0.00 50.57
Florida 48.68 48.60 44.00 52.10
Georgia 46.99 49.50 4.00 52.90
Hawaii 31.95 33.06 6.00 39.15
Idaho 62.29 62.00 54.30 82.00
Illinois 40.80 40.90 34.00 44.59
Indiana 55.51 55.30 48.10 62.00
Iowa 50.05 50.40 41.10 53.50
Kansas 56.06 56.30 50.30 66.00
Kentucky 57.63 58.90 24.00 65.00
Louisiana 59.63 58.70 52.30 78.00
Maine 42.61 43.00 32.00 46.90
Maryland 35.01 34.47 23.00 48.40
Massachusetts 31.68 31.10 13.00 48.10
Michigan 45.89 46.20 39.00 49.40
Minnesota 45.22 45.90 38.00 49.80
Mississippi 58.81 58.20 53.80 66.00
Missouri 53.99 54.00 45.60 60.30
Montana 54.65 54.30 49.00 61.50
Nebraska 56.33 57.05 42.00 63.40
Nevada 46.89 47.10 38.00 54.50
New Hampshire 45.52 45.38 42.00 51.40
New Jersey 39.30 39.00 26.00 53.10
New Mexico 44.16 44.30 36.00 49.50
New York 34.19 34.30 18.00 45.30
North Carolina 48.90 49.20 44.00 51.60
North Dakota 61.44 60.40 54.00 72.00
Ohio 51.23 51.00 44.00 55.00
Oklahoma 62.64 62.20 57.00 75.00
Oregon 39.92 40.03 31.00 46.00
Pennsylvania 46.39 47.40 36.40 49.30
Rhode Island 35.27 33.90 29.00 49.60
South Carolina 54.12 54.00 47.20 62.00
South Dakota 58.27 57.80 52.00 65.00
Tennessee 58.42 58.30 46.50 72.00
Texas 51.47 51.20 46.00 56.00
Utah 58.61 58.70 51.00 73.00
Vermont 32.48 31.70 19.00 46.93
Virginia 43.90 44.00 35.57 53.50
Washington 38.51 38.10 25.00 48.30
West Virginia 65.66 64.34 56.10 92.00
Wisconsin 46.56 46.60 39.00 57.00
Wyoming 64.19 67.80 1.00 75.50